Euro area PMIs

Survey of euro area business activity; above 50 means growing.

HCOB and S&P Global · Monthly: flash around the 23rd, finals early the next month, from 09:15 Frankfurt time

The basics

Purchasing managers at companies in Germany, France and the rest of the euro area are asked whether output, new orders, hiring and prices went up or down last month. The answers are combined into one index.

Above 50 means activity is growing; below 50 means it is shrinking. Because it comes out early in the month, it is one of the first readings of how the economy is doing.

How to read the result

Above the forecast
A reading above the forecast often lifts the euro.
Below the forecast
A reading below the forecast often weakens the euro.

Going deeper

France, then Germany, then the euro area publish within 45 minutes of each other; the German manufacturing figure often sets the tone.

FAQs

Why can the price move the “wrong” way?
Prices already reflect the forecast, so markets react to the surprise, not the number itself. Other parts of the same release, revisions to earlier months or other news in the same hour can outweigh the headline figure, and a first move often reverses within the hour.
Should I close my trade before the release?
That is your decision; this page does not give advice. What is certain is that prices can jump in seconds around big releases, spreads widen, and a stop loss can close at a worse price than the one you set. Many traders check their position size and stop before the release.

Related releases